There is a reason Alabama is 3-0 SU & 2-1 ATS on the road this year and laying huge numbers. When you look at all three games they faced the following run defenses, 117, 128, and 94. To beat this Alabama team you have to start by stopping the run and neither of those SEC teams could do it, but in comes LSU as one of the top run defenses in the country, and they are also a top pass defense something Alabama really not used to seeing. Points will be at a premium. Another thing in common with all 3 road games is the fact that Alabama faced rushing offenses of 71, 115, and 81 so that just tells me that they have not faced a team that can match up with them in the trenches. LSU is #1 in rushing offense from a YPC perspective, and theyâre at home at night in death valley. I think LSU puts Alabama in a spot they havenât been all year and with a freshman QB in Jalen Hurts Iâm just not so sure they lose this game. I really do not trust Jalen Hurts with the ball so if LSU can stop the run like they have been doing all season long this is a game played in the teens.
People forget that this Alabama team actually lost quite a bit form last yearâs team which included 24 letterman compared to LSUâs 13. LSU returned 17 starters to Alabamaâs 11. I know thatâs history at this point in the season, but LSUâs recruiting and talent is as close to Alabama as any other team. The key I think in this game is whether or not LSU trusts their defense to win the game. I think they do, and I think we see a lot of running with some play action and timely throws. This is Ed Orgeronâs biggest game he has nothing to lose and I think the pressure is really on Alabama who is the #1 seed in the college football playoff. LSUâs losses donât look as bad now do they? Wisconsin is the real deal and LSU had to go on the road to play that game, and Auburn is now getting serious national attention and Les Miles really blew that game on the road and they actually won it in regulation, but time expired.
